Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic: crowd vs house
NBA · Wed Oct 21, 7:10 PM ET · House take 4.6%
Crowd vs House split
House take (median book margin): 4.6%. That is the vig you pay by betting at the house. Split = crowd price minus the house's no-vig fair price.
| Side | CROWD | HOUSE fair | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Hawks | 45.0% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 44.8% no-vig median | +0.2 pts |
| Orlando Magic | 55.5% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 55.2% no-vig median | +0.3 pts |
Who's cheaper: Atlanta Hawks to win
House no-vig fair: 44.8%. Cheapest after vig & fees: HOUSEBetRivers by 0.8¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDPolymarket.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetRivers | +120 (2.20) | 45.5¢ +120 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 45.0¢ + 1.24¢ fee | 46.2¢ +116 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 45¢ + 1.73¢ fee (via NO) | 46.7¢ +114 |
Who's cheaper: Orlando Magic to win
House no-vig fair: 55.2%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDKalshi by 0.4¢ per $1 payout vs HOUSEFanDuel.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| CROWDKalshi open | 55¢ + 1.73¢ fee (via NO) | 56.7¢ -131 |
| HOUSEFanDuel | -133 (1.75) | 57.1¢ -133 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 56.0¢ + 1.23¢ fee | 57.2¢ -134 |
House moneylines
| Book | Hawks | Magic | House take |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetMGM | +110 | -135 | 5.1% |
| HOUSEBetRivers | +120 | -147 | 5.0% |
| HOUSECaesars | +115 | -135 | 4.0% |
| HOUSEDraftKings | +114 | -135 | 4.2% |
| HOUSEFanDuel | +114 | -133 | 3.9% |
| HOUSEFanatics | +115 | -141 | 5.0% |
All-in cost = what you pay for a contract/bet that returns $1 if it wins, after Kalshi or Polymarket taker fees (the vig is already inside sportsbook prices). Lower is better. How we calculate this.
Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 1:20 AM ET. Prices move constantly; always check the live price at the venue.