Boston Celtics vs Detroit Pistons: crowd vs house

NBA · Tue Oct 20, 3:00 PM ET · House take 4.6%

Crowd vs House split

House take (median book margin): 4.6%. That is the vig you pay by betting at the house. Split = crowd price minus the house's no-vig fair price.

SideCROWDHOUSE fairSplit
Boston Celtics52.5%
Polymarket + Kalshi mid
52.2%
no-vig median
+0.3 pts
Detroit Pistons47.5%
Polymarket + Kalshi mid
47.8%
no-vig median
-0.3 pts

Who's cheaper: Boston Celtics to win

House no-vig fair: 52.2%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDPolymarket by 0.4¢ per $1 payout vs HOUSEFanDuel.

VenueQuotedAll-in cost / $1Notes
CROWDPolymarket open53.0¢ + 1.25¢ fee54.2¢
-119
spread 1¢, $7,399 at ask
HOUSEFanDuel-120 (1.83)54.6¢
-120
CROWDKalshi open53¢ + 1.74¢ fee54.7¢
-121
spread 1¢, $1,908 at ask

Who's cheaper: Detroit Pistons to win

House no-vig fair: 47.8%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDPolymarket by 0.3¢ per $1 payout vs HOUSEFanDuel.

VenueQuotedAll-in cost / $1Notes
CROWDPolymarket open48.0¢ + 1.25¢ fee49.2¢
+103
spread 1¢, $8,653 at ask
HOUSEFanDuel+102 (2.02)49.5¢
+102
CROWDKalshi open48¢ + 1.75¢ fee49.7¢
+101
spread 1¢, $119,844 at ask

House moneylines

BookCelticsPistonsHouse take
HOUSEBetMGM-120+1004.6%
HOUSEBetRivers-123+1005.2%
HOUSECaesars-120+1004.6%
HOUSEDraftKings-120+1004.6%
HOUSEFanDuel-120+1024.1%
HOUSEFanatics-120+1004.6%

All-in cost = what you pay for a contract/bet that returns $1 if it wins, after Kalshi or Polymarket taker fees (the vig is already inside sportsbook prices). Lower is better. How we calculate this.

Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 1:20 AM ET. Prices move constantly; always check the live price at the venue.