Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets: crowd vs house
NBA · Wed Oct 21, 8:40 PM ET · House take 4.4%
Crowd vs House split
House take (median book margin): 4.4%. That is the vig you pay by betting at the house. Split = crowd price minus the house's no-vig fair price.
| Side | CROWD | HOUSE fair | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Mavericks | 24.5% Kalshi mid | 24.9% no-vig median | -0.4 pts |
| Houston Rockets | 76.5% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 75.1% no-vig median | +1.4 pts |
Who's cheaper: Dallas Mavericks to win
House no-vig fair: 24.9%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDKalshi by 0.0¢ per $1 payout vs HOUSEDraftKings.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| CROWDPolymarket open | 24.0¢ + 0.91¢ fee | 24.9¢ +301 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 24¢ + 1.28¢ fee (via NO) | 25.3¢ +296 |
| HOUSEDraftKings | +295 (3.95) | 25.3¢ +295 |
Who's cheaper: Houston Rockets to win
House no-vig fair: 75.1%. Cheapest after vig & fees: HOUSEFanDuel by 0.4¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDKalshi.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| HOUSEFanDuel | -333 (1.30) | 76.9¢ -333 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 76¢ + 1.28¢ fee (via NO) | 77.3¢ -340 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 77.0¢ + 0.89¢ fee | 77.9¢ -352 |
House moneylines
| Book | Mavericks | Rockets | House take |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetMGM | +290 | -370 | 4.4% |
| HOUSEBetRivers | +275 | -370 | 5.4% |
| HOUSECaesars | +278 | -357 | 4.6% |
| HOUSEDraftKings | +295 | -370 | 4.1% |
| HOUSEFanDuel | +270 | -333 | 4.0% |
| HOUSEFanatics | +290 | -370 | 4.4% |
All-in cost = what you pay for a contract/bet that returns $1 if it wins, after Kalshi or Polymarket taker fees (the vig is already inside sportsbook prices). Lower is better. How we calculate this.
Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 1:20 AM ET. Prices move constantly; always check the live price at the venue.