Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs: crowd vs house

NBA · Tue Oct 20, 9:30 PM ET · House take 4.6%

Crowd vs House split

House take (median book margin): 4.6%. That is the vig you pay by betting at the house. Split = crowd price minus the house's no-vig fair price.

SideCROWDHOUSE fairSplit
Oklahoma City Thunder49.0%
Polymarket + Kalshi mid
47.8%
no-vig median
+1.2 pts
San Antonio Spurs51.0%
Polymarket + Kalshi mid
52.2%
no-vig median
-1.2 pts

Who's cheaper: Oklahoma City Thunder to win

House no-vig fair: 47.8%. Cheapest after vig & fees: HOUSEBetRivers by 0.7¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDPolymarket.

VenueQuotedAll-in cost / $1Notes
HOUSEBetRivers+102 (2.02)49.5¢
+102
CROWDPolymarket open49.0¢ + 1.25¢ fee50.2¢
-101
spread 1¢, $2,630 at ask
CROWDKalshi open50¢ + 1.75¢ fee51.7¢
-107
spread 1¢, $30,673 at ask

Who's cheaper: San Antonio Spurs to win

House no-vig fair: 52.2%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDKalshi by 0.5¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDPolymarket.

VenueQuotedAll-in cost / $1Notes
CROWDKalshi open51¢ + 1.75¢ fee52.7¢
-112
spread 1¢, $156,586 at ask
CROWDPolymarket open52.0¢ + 1.25¢ fee53.2¢
-114
spread 1¢, $6,091 at ask
HOUSECaesars-115 (1.87)53.5¢
-115

House moneylines

BookThunderSpursHouse take
HOUSEBetMGM+100-1204.6%
HOUSEBetRivers+102-1255.1%
HOUSECaesars-105-1154.8%
HOUSEDraftKings+102-1224.5%
HOUSEFanDuel-102-1164.3%
HOUSEFanatics+100-1204.6%

All-in cost = what you pay for a contract/bet that returns $1 if it wins, after Kalshi or Polymarket taker fees (the vig is already inside sportsbook prices). Lower is better. How we calculate this.

Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 1:20 AM ET. Prices move constantly; always check the live price at the venue.