Air Force Falcons vs Wyoming Cowboys: crowd vs house
College Football · Fri Oct 23, 9:00 PM ET · House take 4.4%
Crowd vs House split
House take (median book margin): 4.4%. That is the vig you pay by betting at the house. Split = crowd price minus the house's no-vig fair price.
| Side | CROWD | HOUSE fair | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force Falcons | 65.5% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 64.4% no-vig median | +1.1 pts |
| Wyoming Cowboys | 35.0% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 35.6% no-vig median | -0.6 pts |
Who's cheaper: Air Force Falcons to win
House no-vig fair: 64.4%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDPolymarket by 1.0¢ per $1 payout vs HOUSEBetRivers.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| CROWDPolymarket open | 65.0¢ + 0.68¢ fee | 65.7¢ -191 |
| HOUSEBetRivers | -200 (1.50) | 66.7¢ -200 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 66¢ + 1.57¢ fee (via NO) | 67.6¢ -208 |
Who's cheaper: Wyoming Cowboys to win
House no-vig fair: 35.6%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDKalshi by 1.1¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDPolymarket.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| CROWDKalshi open | 34¢ + 1.57¢ fee (via NO) | 35.6¢ +181 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 36.0¢ + 0.69¢ fee | 36.7¢ +173 |
| HOUSEDraftKings | +170 (2.70) | 37.0¢ +170 |
House moneylines
| Book | Falcons | Cowboys | House take |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetMGM | -208 | +170 | 4.6% |
| HOUSEBetRivers | -200 | +160 | 5.1% |
| HOUSECaesars | -204 | +169 | 4.3% |
| HOUSEDraftKings | -204 | +170 | 4.2% |
| HOUSEFanDuel | -204 | +168 | 4.4% |
| HOUSEFanatics | -204 | +170 | 4.2% |
All-in cost = what you pay for a contract/bet that returns $1 if it wins, after Kalshi or Polymarket taker fees (the vig is already inside sportsbook prices). Lower is better. How we calculate this.
Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 1:20 AM ET. Prices move constantly; always check the live price at the venue.