California Golden Bears vs SMU Mustangs: crowd vs house
College Football · Sat Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET · House take 4.4%
Crowd vs House split
House take (median book margin): 4.4%. That is the vig you pay by betting at the house. Split = crowd price minus the house's no-vig fair price.
| Side | CROWD | HOUSE fair | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| California Golden Bears | 10.2% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 11.3% no-vig median | -1.0 pts |
| SMU Mustangs | 89.8% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 88.7% no-vig median | +1.0 pts |
Who's cheaper: California Golden Bears to win
House no-vig fair: 11.3%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDPolymarket by 0.1¢ per $1 payout vs HOUSEBetMGM.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| CROWDPolymarket open | 11.0¢ + 0.29¢ fee | 11.3¢ +785 |
| HOUSEBetMGM | +775 (8.75) | 11.4¢ +775 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 11¢ + 0.69¢ fee | 11.7¢ +756 |
Who's cheaper: SMU Mustangs to win
House no-vig fair: 88.7%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDKalshi by 0.6¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDPolymarket.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| CROWDKalshi open | 90¢ + 0.63¢ fee | 90.6¢ -967 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 91.0¢ + 0.25¢ fee | 91.2¢ -1042 |
| HOUSEBetMGM | -1111 (1.09) | 91.7¢ -1111 |
House moneylines
| Book | Bears | Mustangs | House take |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetMGM | +775 | -1111 | 3.2% |
| HOUSEBetRivers | +750 | -1429 | 5.2% |
| HOUSECaesars | +750 | -1250 | 4.4% |
| HOUSEDraftKings | +750 | -1250 | 4.4% |
| HOUSEFanDuel | +740 | -1250 | 4.5% |
| HOUSEFanatics | +750 | -1250 | 4.4% |
All-in cost = what you pay for a contract/bet that returns $1 if it wins, after Kalshi or Polymarket taker fees (the vig is already inside sportsbook prices). Lower is better. How we calculate this.
Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 1:20 AM ET. Prices move constantly; always check the live price at the venue.