Iowa State Cyclones vs Arizona Wildcats: crowd vs house
College Football · Sat Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET · House take 4.3%
Crowd vs House split
House take (median book margin): 4.3%. That is the vig you pay by betting at the house. Split = crowd price minus the house's no-vig fair price.
| Side | CROWD | HOUSE fair | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State Cyclones | 25.5% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 26.5% no-vig median | -1.0 pts |
| Arizona Wildcats | 74.0% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 73.5% no-vig median | +0.5 pts |
Who's cheaper: Iowa State Cyclones to win
House no-vig fair: 26.5%. Cheapest after vig & fees: HOUSEBetRivers by 0.6¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDPolymarket.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetRivers | +285 (3.85) | 26.0¢ +285 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 26.0¢ + 0.58¢ fee | 26.6¢ +276 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 26¢ + 1.35¢ fee | 27.3¢ +266 |
Who's cheaper: Arizona Wildcats to win
House no-vig fair: 73.5%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDKalshi by 0.2¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDPolymarket.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| CROWDKalshi open | 74¢ + 1.35¢ fee | 75.3¢ -306 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 75.0¢ + 0.56¢ fee | 75.6¢ -309 |
| HOUSEFanatics | -312 (1.32) | 75.8¢ -312 |
House moneylines
| Book | Cyclones | Wildcats | House take |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetMGM | +260 | -323 | 4.1% |
| HOUSEBetRivers | +285 | -385 | 5.3% |
| HOUSECaesars | +265 | -333 | 4.3% |
| HOUSEDraftKings | +260 | -323 | 4.1% |
| HOUSEFanDuel | +270 | -345 | 4.5% |
| HOUSEFanatics | +250 | -312 | 4.3% |
All-in cost = what you pay for a contract/bet that returns $1 if it wins, after Kalshi or Polymarket taker fees (the vig is already inside sportsbook prices). Lower is better. How we calculate this.
Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 1:20 AM ET. Prices move constantly; always check the live price at the venue.