James Madison Dukes vs Appalachian State Mountaineers: crowd vs house
College Football · Thu Oct 22, 7:00 PM ET · House take 4.3%
Crowd vs House split
House take (median book margin): 4.3%. That is the vig you pay by betting at the house. Split = crowd price minus the house's no-vig fair price.
| Side | CROWD | HOUSE fair | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes | 78.2% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 77.7% no-vig median | +0.6 pts |
| Appalachian State Mountaineers | 21.8% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 22.3% no-vig median | -0.6 pts |
Who's cheaper: James Madison Dukes to win
House no-vig fair: 77.7%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDPolymarket by 0.7¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDKalshi.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| CROWDPolymarket open | 79.0¢ + 0.50¢ fee | 79.5¢ -388 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 79¢ + 1.16¢ fee | 80.2¢ -404 |
| HOUSEFanDuel | -417 (1.24) | 80.6¢ -417 |
Who's cheaper: Appalachian State Mountaineers to win
House no-vig fair: 22.3%. Cheapest after vig & fees: HOUSEBetRivers by 0.5¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDKalshi.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetRivers | +340 (4.40) | 22.7¢ +340 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 22¢ + 1.20¢ fee | 23.2¢ +331 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 23.0¢ + 0.53¢ fee | 23.5¢ +325 |
House moneylines
| Book | Dukes | Mountaineers | House take |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetMGM | -417 | +333 | 3.7% |
| HOUSEBetRivers | -476 | +340 | 5.4% |
| HOUSECaesars | -435 | +330 | 4.6% |
| HOUSEDraftKings | -417 | +330 | 3.9% |
| HOUSEFanDuel | -417 | +320 | 4.5% |
| HOUSEFanatics | -417 | +325 | 4.2% |
All-in cost = what you pay for a contract/bet that returns $1 if it wins, after Kalshi or Polymarket taker fees (the vig is already inside sportsbook prices). Lower is better. How we calculate this.
Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 1:20 AM ET. Prices move constantly; always check the live price at the venue.