North Dakota State Bison vs New Mexico Lobos: crowd vs house
College Football · Sat Oct 24, 10:00 PM ET · House take 4.3%
Crowd vs House split
House take (median book margin): 4.3%. That is the vig you pay by betting at the house. Split = crowd price minus the house's no-vig fair price.
| Side | CROWD | HOUSE fair | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota State Bison | 35.8% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 36.1% no-vig median | -0.4 pts |
| New Mexico Lobos | 64.2% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 63.9% no-vig median | +0.4 pts |
Who's cheaper: North Dakota State Bison to win
House no-vig fair: 36.1%. Cheapest after vig & fees: HOUSEDraftKings by 0.6¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDKalshi.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| HOUSEDraftKings | +170 (2.70) | 37.0¢ +170 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 36¢ + 1.61¢ fee | 37.6¢ +166 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 37.0¢ + 0.70¢ fee | 37.7¢ +165 |
Who's cheaper: New Mexico Lobos to win
House no-vig fair: 63.9%. Cheapest after vig & fees: HOUSEBetRivers by 0.3¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDPolymarket.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetRivers | -189 (1.53) | 65.4¢ -189 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 65.0¢ + 0.68¢ fee | 65.7¢ -191 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 65¢ + 1.59¢ fee | 66.6¢ -199 |
House moneylines
| Book | Bison | Lobos | House take |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetMGM | +165 | -200 | 4.4% |
| HOUSEBetRivers | +150 | -189 | 5.4% |
| HOUSECaesars | +166 | -200 | 4.3% |
| HOUSEDraftKings | +170 | -204 | 4.2% |
| HOUSEFanDuel | +160 | -192 | 4.3% |
| HOUSEFanatics | +170 | -204 | 4.2% |
All-in cost = what you pay for a contract/bet that returns $1 if it wins, after Kalshi or Polymarket taker fees (the vig is already inside sportsbook prices). Lower is better. How we calculate this.
Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 1:20 AM ET. Prices move constantly; always check the live price at the venue.