Syracuse Orange vs North Carolina Tar Heels: crowd vs house
College Football · Sat Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET · House take 4.4%
Crowd vs House split
House take (median book margin): 4.4%. That is the vig you pay by betting at the house. Split = crowd price minus the house's no-vig fair price.
| Side | CROWD | HOUSE fair | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Syracuse Orange | 26.0% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 25.7% no-vig median | +0.3 pts |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 74.0% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 74.3% no-vig median | -0.3 pts |
Who's cheaper: Syracuse Orange to win
House no-vig fair: 25.7%. Cheapest after vig & fees: HOUSEBetRivers by 0.9¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDPolymarket.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetRivers | +275 (3.75) | 26.7¢ +275 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 27.0¢ + 0.59¢ fee | 27.6¢ +262 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 27¢ + 1.38¢ fee | 28.4¢ +252 |
Who's cheaper: North Carolina Tar Heels to win
House no-vig fair: 74.3%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDKalshi by 1.0¢ per $1 payout vs HOUSEBetMGM.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| CROWDKalshi open | 74¢ + 1.35¢ fee | 75.3¢ -306 |
| HOUSEBetMGM | -323 (1.31) | 76.3¢ -323 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 76.0¢ + 0.55¢ fee | 76.5¢ -326 |
House moneylines
| Book | Orange | Heels | House take |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetMGM | +270 | -323 | 3.4% |
| HOUSEBetRivers | +275 | -370 | 5.4% |
| HOUSECaesars | +275 | -345 | 4.2% |
| HOUSEDraftKings | +275 | -345 | 4.2% |
| HOUSEFanDuel | +270 | -345 | 4.5% |
| HOUSEFanatics | +270 | -345 | 4.5% |
All-in cost = what you pay for a contract/bet that returns $1 if it wins, after Kalshi or Polymarket taker fees (the vig is already inside sportsbook prices). Lower is better. How we calculate this.
Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 1:20 AM ET. Prices move constantly; always check the live price at the venue.