UMass Minutemen vs UConn Huskies: crowd vs house

College Football · Fri Oct 23, 7:00 PM ET · House take 4.7%

Crowd vs House split

House take (median book margin): 4.7%. That is the vig you pay by betting at the house. Split = crowd price minus the house's no-vig fair price.

SideCROWDHOUSE fairSplit
UMass Minutemen14.5%
Polymarket + Kalshi mid
16.0%
no-vig median
-1.5 pts
UConn Huskies85.0%
Polymarket + Kalshi mid
84.0%
no-vig median
+1.0 pts

Who's cheaper: UMass Minutemen to win

House no-vig fair: 16.0%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDPolymarket by 0.5¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDKalshi.

VenueQuotedAll-in cost / $1Notes
CROWDPolymarket open15.0¢ + 0.38¢ fee15.4¢
+550
spread 1¢, $73 at ask
CROWDKalshi open15¢ + 0.89¢ fee15.9¢
+529
spread 1¢, $4,479 at ask
HOUSEFanatics+525 (6.25)16.0¢
+525

Who's cheaper: UConn Huskies to win

House no-vig fair: 84.0%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDKalshi by 0.5¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDPolymarket.

VenueQuotedAll-in cost / $1Notes
CROWDKalshi open85¢ + 0.89¢ fee85.9¢
-609
spread 1¢, $1,667 at ask
CROWDPolymarket open86.0¢ + 0.36¢ fee86.4¢
-633
spread 1¢, $14,497 at ask
HOUSEFanDuel-667 (1.15)87.0¢
-667

House moneylines

BookMinutemenHuskiesHouse take
HOUSEBetMGM+500-6673.6%
HOUSEBetRivers+480-7145.0%
HOUSECaesars+500-7695.2%
HOUSEDraftKings+500-7144.4%
HOUSEFanDuel+460-6674.8%
HOUSEFanatics+525-7694.5%

All-in cost = what you pay for a contract/bet that returns $1 if it wins, after Kalshi or Polymarket taker fees (the vig is already inside sportsbook prices). Lower is better. How we calculate this.

Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 1:20 AM ET. Prices move constantly; always check the live price at the venue.