Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens: crowd vs house

NFL · Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · House take 4.2%

Crowd vs House split

House take (median book margin): 4.2%. That is the vig you pay by betting at the house. Split = crowd price minus the house's no-vig fair price.

SideCROWDHOUSE fairSplit
Cincinnati Bengals42.5%
Kalshi mid
42.6%
no-vig median
-0.1 pts
Baltimore Ravens57.0%
Polymarket + Kalshi mid
57.4%
no-vig median
-0.4 pts

Who's cheaper: Cincinnati Bengals to win

House no-vig fair: 42.6%. Cheapest after vig & fees: HOUSECaesars by 0.9¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDKalshi.

VenueQuotedAll-in cost / $1Notes
CROWDPolymarket open43.0¢ + 0.74¢ fee43.7¢
+129
spread 1¢, $20 at ask, thin/wide market, excluded
HOUSECaesars+128 (2.28)43.9¢
+128
CROWDKalshi open43¢ + 1.72¢ fee44.7¢
+124
spread 1¢, $710 at ask

Who's cheaper: Baltimore Ravens to win

House no-vig fair: 57.4%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDKalshi by 0.0¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDPolymarket.

VenueQuotedAll-in cost / $1Notes
CROWDKalshi open57¢ + 1.72¢ fee58.7¢
-142
spread 1¢, $1,547 at ask
CROWDPolymarket open58.0¢ + 0.73¢ fee58.7¢
-142
spread 1¢, $235 at ask
HOUSEDraftKings-147 (1.68)59.5¢
-147

House moneylines

BookBengalsRavensHouse take
HOUSEBetMGM+125-1494.3%
HOUSEBetRivers+123-1494.7%
HOUSECaesars+128-1524.1%
HOUSEDraftKings+124-1474.2%
HOUSEFanDuel+128-1524.1%
HOUSEFanatics+125-1494.3%

All-in cost = what you pay for a contract/bet that returns $1 if it wins, after Kalshi or Polymarket taker fees (the vig is already inside sportsbook prices). Lower is better. How we calculate this.

Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 1:20 AM ET. Prices move constantly; always check the live price at the venue.