Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets: crowd vs house
NFL · Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · House take 4.3%
Crowd vs House split
House take (median book margin): 4.3%. That is the vig you pay by betting at the house. Split = crowd price minus the house's no-vig fair price.
| Side | CROWD | HOUSE fair | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Dolphins | 32.2% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 32.8% no-vig median | -0.5 pts |
| New York Jets | 67.8% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 67.2% no-vig median | +0.5 pts |
Who's cheaper: Miami Dolphins to win
House no-vig fair: 32.8%. Cheapest after vig & fees: HOUSEFanDuel by 0.1¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDPolymarket.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| HOUSEFanDuel | +198 (2.98) | 33.6¢ +198 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 33.0¢ + 0.66¢ fee | 33.7¢ +197 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 33¢ + 1.55¢ fee | 34.5¢ +189 |
Who's cheaper: New York Jets to win
House no-vig fair: 67.2%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDKalshi by 0.1¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDPolymarket.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| CROWDKalshi open | 68¢ + 1.52¢ fee | 69.5¢ -228 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 69.0¢ + 0.64¢ fee | 69.6¢ -229 |
| HOUSEDraftKings | -233 (1.43) | 69.9¢ -233 |
House moneylines
| Book | Dolphins | Jets | House take |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetMGM | +195 | -233 | 3.8% |
| HOUSEBetRivers | +195 | -250 | 5.3% |
| HOUSECaesars | +192 | -233 | 4.2% |
| HOUSEDraftKings | +190 | -233 | 4.4% |
| HOUSEFanDuel | +198 | -238 | 4.0% |
| HOUSEFanatics | +190 | -233 | 4.4% |
All-in cost = what you pay for a contract/bet that returns $1 if it wins, after Kalshi or Polymarket taker fees (the vig is already inside sportsbook prices). Lower is better. How we calculate this.
Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 1:20 AM ET. Prices move constantly; always check the live price at the venue.