Los Angeles Kings vs Washington Capitals: crowd vs house
NHL · Tue Oct 20, 7:10 PM ET · House take 4.2%
Crowd vs House split
House take (median book margin): 4.2%. That is the vig you pay by betting at the house. Split = crowd price minus the house's no-vig fair price.
| Side | CROWD | HOUSE fair | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Kings | 40.5% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 40.8% no-vig median | -0.3 pts |
| Washington Capitals | 59.5% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 59.2% no-vig median | +0.3 pts |
Who's cheaper: Los Angeles Kings to win
House no-vig fair: 40.8%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDPolymarket by 0.2¢ per $1 payout vs HOUSECaesars.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| CROWDPolymarket open | 41.0¢ + 1.21¢ fee | 42.2¢ +137 |
| HOUSECaesars | +136 (2.36) | 42.4¢ +136 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 41¢ + 1.69¢ fee | 42.7¢ +134 |
Who's cheaper: Washington Capitals to win
House no-vig fair: 59.2%. Cheapest after vig & fees: HOUSEDraftKings by 0.6¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDPolymarket.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| HOUSEDraftKings | -154 (1.65) | 60.6¢ -154 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 60.0¢ + 1.20¢ fee | 61.2¢ -158 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 60¢ + 1.68¢ fee | 61.7¢ -161 |
House moneylines
| Book | Kings | Capitals | House take |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetMGM | +135 | -161 | 4.3% |
| HOUSEBetRivers | +135 | -161 | 4.3% |
| HOUSECaesars | +136 | -161 | 4.1% |
| HOUSEDraftKings | +130 | -154 | 4.1% |
| HOUSEFanDuel | +136 | -164 | 4.5% |
| HOUSEFanatics | +130 | -154 | 4.1% |
All-in cost = what you pay for a contract/bet that returns $1 if it wins, after Kalshi or Polymarket taker fees (the vig is already inside sportsbook prices). Lower is better. How we calculate this.
Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 1:20 AM ET. Prices move constantly; always check the live price at the venue.